|
| I'm not sure why you think that Elwynn is that much different than any other weather forecaster. Granted he focuses on long term trends. He uses a variety of factors to determine the possibility of a certain outcome. Beyond that he is just like you and me. He doesn't know what will happen for sure. This spring when he was saying the possibility of a La Nina was increasing he didn't say it was DEFINITELY going to happen but rather just stating the odds were improving. If he knew for sure what was going to happen he would probably retire and just trade the board. For that matter I don't know why anyone would put 100% stock in what anyone says as a means to making rational decisions. | |
|