The man is VERY intelligent, and EXTREMELY well versed in the art of discussion.

 The problem I see here in this forum goes back to what we learned in grade school.    Everyone gets in a circle, one person says three lines to the person next to them, then around the circle, and when it gets back to the guy who created the message.....its wrong.   

 Same can be said for print, 10 guys reading an article can get 8 different opinions of what its about.

 To me, Elwin gives statistical knowledge of what can happen and relates it to statistical probability's related to farm inputs and production......  That being said, everyone, and I mean everyone should take a statistics class or two.  It opened my eyes back in the day, made me more of a cynic than I was before.........   

Elwin doesn't make predictions, he makes statistical probability's.   He shouldn't be worshiped......If one does, one will be very sorry in the end.