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Say goodbye
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Northforkfarm
Posted 4/11/2024 07:31 (#10702614 - in reply to #10702312)
Subject: RE: Say goodbye


Springfield, OH
davy crockett - 4/10/2024 21:49

peter zeihan talks about low capital costs going away because boomers are retiring and becoming more conservative with their investments. that is in addition to the fed trying to tame inflation.

https://www.apriori.com/resources/video/prepare-for-rising-capital-c...

Peter Zeihan: 70% of global private capital is generated by people between ages 55 and 65. Their kids have moved out, their house has been paid down, they’re at the height of their earnings, and they’re preparing for retirement. The money that they save, that’s what drives the system. Well, the largest generation ever globally were the boomers. Half of them have already retired, so half of their assets financially have already been moved into conservative investments like T-bills in cash, because if there is a currency crisis or a market crash, they have no chance to rebuild their nest egg, there’s no more income. So they have to do that.


If his predictions are correct the cost of capital may not be lower but asset values will plummet. To me it doesn’t matter if the cost of capital is high and asset values are low or the cost of capital is low and asset values are high. What creates a problem is high cost of capital and high asset values which is what we have now.



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