|
| The morning radar shows several areas of moderate showers and thunderstorms clusters along with scattered showers and weak storms over the Lower Midwest ... 1 cluster is over southeast Mo... another over north central KY ... another along the western TX LA .... scattered over central ILL... central and northern MO... and over western MT
On the SHORT RANGE ....not much to change. The overnight short-range and 6am update short-range weather models show the best or heaviest showers and storms over eastern MO into central / Lower ILL over the next 36hours. This rain will have a hard to time moving North because of the large HIGH over the northern Great Lakes will dry these rains out as they move N.
Meanwhile by Friday afternoon evening the deep trough over the northern Rockies will begin to slide eastward and this will bring increasing amounts of showers and thunderstorms to much of the Central and Upper Plains this weekend & into much of next week. This trough and its' surface cold front is going to be a slow moving event and as a result of the coverage when all is said and done will be pretty high...75% or greater of 0.50 to 2.50".
The overnight models are a bit faster with the timing of the rains/ storms over the Plains moving into the WCB.... the data now brings in the 1st area of storm into the WCB Saturday night. By Sunday night and Monday the BEST rains will be running from eastern OK eastern KS eastern NEB western IA MN and western IA .
Next week... the remains of this large trough over the Midwest will bring showers and storms to the ECB but there is some uncertainty as to the the coverage and amounts over the ECB. The American model shows 50% coverage of 0.10 to 0.75" MAY 8-9 while the European is Much drier....
In week 2 the pattern appears to repeat itself for Mid MAY... with a new trough on the West coast and Rockies and a Ridge developing over the Midwest. This will bring about some dry days but once that trough over the Rockies moves east... the rains and storms will return to the Plains and Midwest.
I have started working on a Summer 2007 forecast and I am anxiously awaiting some new atmospheric data which should be out sometime between now and Friday as to give me some additional clues about where he headed for the summer. | |
|
weather FORECAST to my clients from 4/27; MAY WAS GOING TO BE VERY DRY !!
