I have received many emails and calls recently asking me about Brazilian weather.

I tend to chuckle and say its HOT and DRY and perfectly NORMAL.

August and early September are always Hot and DRY.

Rains in Mato Grosso tend to start after Labor Day or about Sept 5th.

IT IS ILLEGAL TO PLANT ANY SOYBEANS IN BRAZIL UNTIL AFTER SEPTEMBER 15TH, NO MATTER WHAT THE WEATHER IS.

This is end of the mandated no planting period for soybeans, which is to prevent the over wintering of the Asian rust spores. It is called breaking the Green Bridge.

Farmers will take a look at forecasts and the sky on Sept 15th. In the past many farmers have started to plant soybeans on the 15th after the 1st rains come. Then the rains stop for 4-5 days and the new seedlings “Burnout” because of lack of moisture. They are forced to replant the field. No big deal, just an added expense for farmers.

Farmers in Mato Grosso will be looking for the regular timeliness of the rains. Once the rain pattern looks stable, go with throttle up.

If this means waiting till the end of September before planting, that is what they will do.

All this LA NINA talk will be a later season phenomena. This means droughty patterns for Argentina, Paraguay, Rio Grande, Parana, and Mato Grosso do Sul.

I will be focused on weather in December and January. Not today.

I will send out flash updates to those on subscribers' list.

Keep in mind, in a PERFECT LA NINA, farmers plant on time in Mato Grosso and then harvest during a dry spell in early January. Dry beans and plant the 2nd crop of corn or cotton.

In a BAD LA NINA, farmers harvest with heavy rains in Mato Grosso with wet spoiled soybeans and the south of Brazil is burning up in HOT, DRY weather praying for rain.

The latter will have the markets attention!!!!

It will be another interesting season. Pent up early demand for early soybeans harvested in January by both crushers and China.

What will happen? Stay in the know………..