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Weather turning dryer.. Funds think 2016.. but what if 1988 or 83?
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69Cat
Posted 2/19/2024 09:39 (#10630205 - in reply to #10630167)
Subject: RE: Weather turning dryer.. Funds think 2016.. but what if 1988 or 83?


Lots of experts will write how El Nino makes for good crops in North America and why to expect record yields, over production and falling prices. Yet with 2024 expected to be La Nina in play by summer no one is taking the opposite side of that discussion. Certainly USDA figures El Nino is good for crop production but seems to think La Nina is a non-issue when coming out with their latest statements of record production in the bag for 2024.

No concerns for me here with very little snow. Had some good snows that melted in early in the winter. Less snow melt means less sloughs and more seeded acres of the best producing acres. Darn rare that a crop is significantly reduced in May here or even early June, yes a dry seed bed can lead to poor germination and grass hoppers and flea bettles can clean off seedlings however that is more like a one in 25 year event . Generally speaking, if serious yield impacts are made then the majority of years it will be in July heat with low rain and throw some high winds in when crops are in bloom. So transition to La Nina is something to note.
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