I met my weather guy Eric Snodgrass at the conference in KC.. (oh Snodgrass.. okay we’ll go). I’ve really enjoyed following his forecasts.. as he explains why he’s looking at something..

Long story short.. he took a baseball bat to my premise of Elwynn Taylor’s 89 year cycle..  “some idiots on the internet are saying..”

”I spent a few days of my CAREER looking at this.. it’s bunk.”

hmmm.. so your saying I’m wrong.  Bummer.

”However,” (in true weatherman fashion) “what could happen is..”

…. Most of y’all don’t care about the ENSO cycle and it’s predictive (or not) relevance to markets.. so y’all should move along now..

For the rest of us.. “here’s how it could go”. And he updated it again yesterday..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mm7VWKy6qZw

”We’re transitioning from El to La Niña” (which means different things for different places.. but us in the southern plains.. ugh.. could flip back to dry again.. “lovely”)

Snodgrass.. “I’m watching the rate of change and how quickly it transitions.. we’re at a point which could give us.. 2016.. (okay.. nice). Or 1988 (!!!!!!)

okay.. what he said.. I’ve got his email now.. and maybe I can stay in touch with him.  Good guy. 

edit add..  Snodgrass is very good about explaining it.. I can’t summarize ALL the IFs, Buts, And therefore’s so you’ll have to follow him in order to get a read on the CONTEXT in which he is striving for..  

“Weather is complex.”

yes.. yes it is.

1988 eh?  Naw..  

I’ve attached screenshots.. those two areas circled off the west coast.. turning a little cooler.. here in February of 24.. if not much cooler.. see July of 16.. not bad.. if really cool.. welp.. see July of 1988.

but again.. ALOT of factors involved.. I’m not snodgrass.. watch him. 

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