Tuesday the Oklahoma Crop tour estimated Oklahoma HRW Wheat production at 54.3 million bushels on 2.2 million harvested acres.  A producer survey came in about 13 million bu lower..

https://www.oklahomafarmreport.com/okfr/2023/05/02/2023-wheat-crop-tour-estimates-differ-by-over-13000-bu-vs-members-projections/

compare that with Oklahomas March 1st grain stocks of 56.59 million bushels.. so more in warehouses on March 1st then expected to be harvested this year.

https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-esmis/files/xg94hp534/td96mf89m/w9506f19g/grst0323.pdf

In Kansas the March 1st number is 165.6 million bushels.

Look at the yield estimate differences in an Oklahoma between north central east @ 22.8 bu vs north central west at 13.6 bu.. ??

 That’s kind of the delima here.. producers who rely on custom harvesters don’t really know what to do?  if it’s not going to make 10 bushels.. is it even worth harvesting?  It’s probably worth more in a round bale than as grain at this point.. 

locally the early appraised stuff.. and yes that should be the worst.. but the highest so far is only 8 bu.. I’ve got fingers crossed that ours may still beat that.. but.. boot tall and trying to head out with tillers dieing by the day..  10 bu or less wheat.. how do you keep from blowing that out the machine?  How do you get it in the header??

it’s a delima on what to do.

Seed wheat will be a battle.. need about 80 lbs per acre for next year..??

later.