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IA & Tm trend line chart
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ecmofarm
Posted 5/24/2023 14:10 (#10241889 - in reply to #10241869)
Subject: RE: IA & Tm trend line chart


EC Mo
Nobody else seems to notice or mention it but if you look at the chart the last 10 years yields have flattened into more of a simple average and not an upward trend. Every year now we are told all summer how great the crop is only to settle in the average that has been established over the last 10 years and not the increase everyone keeps predicting because of the trend of the last 50 years. I think the bears are really pushing the narrative of a big yield this year because they can see the idea of an upward trend is starting to fizzle and we need a big yield to show that upward trend is still happening.181 is very possible with exceptional weather over the entire US but to me it appears the odds would be more in favor of something closer to 175 with normal weather and less than that if mother nature doesn't cooperate.
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