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Cadiz Kentucky | After a 100 yr drought event in central part of Western Ky and from here south to Alabama. I can say there are 30-40% more acres of winter wheat than last year . Those acres will be double cropped with expected yields to be 37 or higher with normal weather. Anything under 130 BU yield potential in this area I feel will go to soybeans. If you will remember when everyone was sowing winter wheat it's price was way above corn and soybeans. So there are acres farms that have never seen wheat that have wheat on them this year. The acres have incresed so much that people were having problems finding enough seed to finish up last fall we have added lots of these acres this year.
Then you bring into the picture what the freeze last April 8 and then the drought has done to the short hay crop and destroyed the pastures and hay . No one has even discussed that and from Ky south it is a severe problem. Most seed suppliers are short on seed to reseed and with the price of grains it has forced the cattle producer to question why he would not just rent the acres out to someone to plant soybeans and then reseed this fall or next year. We have added a 1000 acres of CRP that is just in one county and it is not marginal acres. Just acres that was forced into the Program because of Econmic situation 20 yrs ago.
The soybean supply is a real problem . The drought took its toll on the group 4 and 5 soybeans 5's worse than 4 so alot of the 4's are headed south where they would not normally be as heavy. IMO we will see as big a shift back to soybeans as soybeans went to corn last year. Could be wrong but either way there is not a wrong asnwer. Very seldom are you able to answer that question !!!!
PS SC thanks for your valuble input and discussion!!
Now to answer your question we have cut corn acres by 21% increased Wheat 181% And our soybeans increase by 92% and I am talking about a 15000 acre opreration . If you need further thought's my email is in profile
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Acreage Ideas & Quik Survey
