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Markwright
Posted 7/13/2010 00:51 (#1271062 - in reply to #1270990)
Subject: RE: Interesting stuff, it appears


New Mexico
usda then reduced continual ratings some but at the same time trended to Increased yield projections as the season progressed.

btw, last year I predicted record yields at planting time.

This year, No Way. Started out at 152 here on corn.
Reason is that some years ARE corn years, and some simply are NOT.

Further reasoning is simple numbers and probabilities.

Statistically it is very unlikely of any crop performing Record yields 2 years in a row.

USDA came right out from the "get go " this year with an approx 162.5 projection on corn ( we'll perhaps know later if a simple, easy assumption is repeatable ).

btw, the fore 152 I stated is likely high now.

There's some areas with pretty darn good corn this year.
Those are in general the same areas which ALWAYS have Real corn.

Outside of what I call the afore "Guts" cornbelt are what would be correctly labeled as "fringe" cornbelt.

1/2 the acres in the usa are "fringe," for 010.

It gets tough to average 0's to 250's and come up with a decent total average on all acres. MO.

Corn is such a minor deal from a total cost standpoint now for most people that it probably matters notta if it's a $2.50 product or a $4.50 product. Granted most the afore folks are not the same ones growing the stuff either.

How much yellow dent corn did you eat today? Probably none, for 99.99% of the globe's people.

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