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please educate me on some marketing
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GAW46
Posted 7/9/2010 09:03 (#1266319 - in reply to #1266177)
Subject: RE: .18 cents maybe??


Why not just open a spec acct and retire from farming

Can you explain to me why advice to buy and sell options is nothing but spec
If it goes to 8.50 you lose, if it goes to ??? you win

Doesn't anybody believe in a true hedge anymore
I hate to see people advice spec. moves when all the question was about, was locking in a decent price

Is marketing part spec?? Yes, but don't make it more spec, especially if COP and margin of profit is all the producer really wants

Depending on your area basis, some 6.00 wheat can be had or very close to 6.00

Why spec with that price???

Either start selling or wait, depending on your decision

But at least make it a true hedge, or sale

I have to hedge, because we don't have the ability to make sales on far out months

Our system is not as flexible for marketing choices,so I have to do the futures price and wait for a time, closer to delivery before anybody offers a contract, of any kind

Only option is pay 25 cents and let somebody else put up any possible margin, but over the yrs. that is too much

The down side is one has to have unlimited margin available, which can be a problem for some

Example: sell wheat for 2012 and then see it go 2.00 higher and put up the margin

It will even out, in the end when the physical is sold, but you need 2.00 for every bu. sold
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